Wednesday, February 27, 2013

great job benny



average UE during chair time:


Paul Volcker, 7.7%
Ben S. Bernanke, 7.3%
Arthur Burns, 6.3%
G. William Miller, 5.9%
Alan Greenspan, 5.5%
Thomas McCabe, 5.0%
William McC. Martin, 4.6%

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

When we get back to full employment......we won't fucking stay there....

That express annoys my left nut no end When we get back ...as if it's like an occasional bad trip away from the usual we're in No it's part of capitalism's Ixion's wheel We turn and we turn It's a cycle Follows group features 1) employment up wage share down 2) employment down wage share up 3) employment down wage share down 4) employment down wage share down The secondary secular misery ? How bigs the loop ? Where's the foci ?

Friday, February 22, 2013

shirk the work of a jerk

from wiki
  1. Unlike other forms of capital, humans can choose their level of effort.
  2. It is costly for firms to determine how much effort workers are exerting.
A full description of this model can be found at the links provided.[34] Some key implications of this model are:
  1. Wages do not fall enough during recessions to prevent unemployment from rising. If the demand for labour falls, this lowers wages. But because wages have fallen, the probability of 'shirking' (workers not exerting effort) has risen. If employment levels are to be maintained, through a sufficient lowering of wages, workers will be less productive than before through the shirking effect. As a consequence, in the model wages do not fall enough to maintain employment levels at the previous state, because firms want to avoid excessive shirking by their workers. So, unemployment must rise during recessions, because wages are kept 'too high'.
  2. Possible corollary: Wage sluggishness. Moving from one private cost of hiring <w∗> to another private cost of hiring <w∗∗> will require each firm to repeatedly re-optimize wages in response to shifting unemployment rate. Firms cannot cut wages until unemployment rises sufficiently (a coordination problem).
The outcome is never Pareto efficient.
  1. Each firm employs too few workers because it faces private cost of hiring rather than the social cost — which is equal to and in all cases. This means that firms do not "internalize" the "external" cost of unemployment - they do not factor how large-scale unemployment harms society when assessing their own costs. This leads to a negative externality as marginal social cost exceeds the firm's marginal cost (MSC = Firm's Private Marginal Cost + Marginal External Cost of increased social unemployment)[clarification needed]
  2. There are also negative externalities. Each firm increases the asset value of unemployment <Vu> for all other firms by hiring.[clarification needed] But the first problem clearly dominates since the 'natural rate of unemployment' is always too high.

    

Tuesday, February 19, 2013

"It may be asked where the public will get the money to lend to the government if they do not curtail their investment and consumption. To understand this process it is best, I think, to imagine for a moment that the government pays its suppliers in government securities. The suppliers will, in general, not retain these securities but put them into circulation while buying other goods and services, and so on, until finally these securities will reach persons or firms which retain them as interest-yielding assets"

Monetary Economics, Wynne Godley and Marc Lavoie say this in a footnote: Note that neo-classical economists don’t even get close to this equation, for otherwise, through equation (2.4), they would have been able to rediscover Kalecki’s (1971: 82–3) famous equation which says that profits are the sum of capitalist investment, capitalist consumption expenditures and government deficit, minus workers’ saving. Rewriting equation (2.3), we obtain: FU = If + DEF − SAVh which says that the retained earnings of firms are equal to the investment of firms plus the government deficit minus household saving. Thus, in contrast to neo-liberal thinking, the above equation implies that the larger the government deficit, the larger the retained earnings of firms; also the larger the saving of households, the smaller the retained earnings of firms, provided the left-out terms are kept constant. Of course the given equation also features the well-known relationship between investment and profits, whereby actual investment expenditures determine the realized level of retained earnings.

maybe we need new wage and hour boards at the state level

since we're headed back to scratch