Tuesday, October 30, 2012

mr mandate doubts senior savy

consider  senior citizens  choosing among Medicare Part D coverage plans :

mr mandate

“We found that only 12 percent of seniors made the right choice based on their needs"


"The Medicare Part D Prescription Drug Plan represents the most significant privatization of the delivery of a public insurance benefit in recent history, with dozens of private insurers offering a wide range of products with varying prices and product features; the typical elder had a choice of roughly 40 stand-alone drug plans. In this paper we evaluate the choices of elders across this wide array of Part D options using a unique data set of prescription drug claims matched to information on the characteristics of choice sets. We first document that the vast majority of elders are choosing plans that are not on the "efficient portfolio" of plan choice in the sense that an alternative plan offers better risk protection at a lower cost. We then estimate several discrete choice models to document three dimensions along which elders are making choices which are inconsistent with optimization under full information: elders place much more weight on plan premiums than they do on expected out of pocket costs; they place almost no value on variance reducing aspects of plans; and they value plan financial characteristics beyond any impacts on their own financial expenses or risk.These findings are robust to a variety of specifications and econometric approaches. We develop an "adjusted" revealed preference approach that combines data from consumer choices with ex ante restrictions on preferences, and find that in a partial equilibrium setting, restricting the choice set to the three lowest average cost options would have likely raised welfare for elders under the program."


 johnny gruber
                                                     aka  mr mandate


other results from mr mandate  not so kool :

hospital strikes KILL !!!


".. nurses’ strikes increase in-hospital mortality by 19.4%.... hospitals functioning
during nurses’ strikes are doing so at a lower quality of patient care."

"results reveal a male pay advantage of about seven percentage points that can’t be explained away. That is, the men earn $100 for every $93 the young women earn."

that's the estimated  post college out of the gate gender gap

so what's the post high school out of the gate gender gap  egg heads ?

also in the boooshwah news

"on average, the female college graduates in the sample earn only about 82 percent of what the male college graduates earn, largely because they chose different college majors or decided to work for nonprofit organizations."

Monday, October 29, 2012

each generation when "in charge" gropes into the future ...

the welfare effects of this create inter generational non optimality


lesson
take it all  in cash and spend it fast
no annuities no fine print no time based double crosses

unions fight back against tiny job time capsulization

 meet future dream time sex partner of mine:


Susan J. Lambert

 expert on part-time work
 and  professor of organizational theory
 at the University of Chicago:

" the use of part-timers escalated because of the declining power of labor unions."

 “They set a standard for what a real job was — Monday through Friday with full-time hours,”

blame tiny time capsulization on..who else ...walmart

"when Walmart spread nationwide and opened hundreds of 24-hour stores in the 1990s, that created intense competitive pressures and prompted many retailers to copy the company’s cost-cutting practices, including its heavy reliance on part-timers. "



Kronos is here

a scheduling system that will grind us  into  a pile of  tiny time capsules

Kronos
 http://www.kronos.com/?ecid=ABEA-7WGTY7&s_kwcid=TC|24569|kronos%20software||S|p|13348171736&gclid=CPnd07DNprMCFdKd4AodBVAAXA

" if u say "i'm  unavailable during certain hours"
this  scheduling software reduces your total  hours further "

" part-time employees with less availability are typically assigned fewer hours"

heh heh
hee hee  heeeeeee

“It’s almost like sharecropping — if you have a lot of farmers with small plots of land, they work very hard to produce in that limited amount of land,....many part-time workers feel a real competition to work hard during their limited hours because they want to impress managers to give them more hours.”

flex time means short hours short pay and short benes baby

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/28/business/a-part-time-life-as-hours-shrink-and-shift-for-american-workers.html?ref=stevengreenhouse


" in two leading industries — retailing and hospitality — the number of part-timers who would prefer to work full-time has jumped to 3.1 million, or two-and-a-half times the 2006 level....
 part-time workers in service jobs received average compensation of $10.92 an hour in June, which includes $8.90 in wages plus benefits of $2.02. Full-time workers in that sector averaged 57 percent more in total compensation — $17.18 an hour, made up of $12.25 in wages and $4.93 in benefits. Benefit costs are far lower for part-timers because, for example, just 21 percent of them are in employer-backed retirement plans, compared with 65 percent of full-timers"

Saturday, October 27, 2012

waltonmart braces for struggle

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/Walmart-2.pdf

Walmartstrikememo

remember the recent walk offs at  Sam's boxes   ?


here's the formal mangement response as circulated to floor level straw bossery

its pinky finger raised stuff
clearly for nlrb consumption

however if bthe floor whips act dainty and ...and this walk off act grows
obviously each walk off without a bite back by the straw turkeys..

t'will mean  jobster  boldness
                        rising like a strengthening  tide

"audace toujour  l'audace" ... or what ever  the fuck that fat shit super- frog said

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

the babies

deficit makers '09 to '18

                 



Economic downturn


 
418    449  332   388   354   344  199   114  106  113   
TARP, Fannie,
 and Freddie



 
249  -66-3026101410810    11
 
ARRAb
 
182  3281715851441861320
Other recovery
 measures
 
09326925544-45-36-21-14-6



Bush-era tax cuts

 
366    337372338346357   378419   482    546


War costs
178188184163137109837991105

means-tested entitlement payouts ..after a bulge ..it's return to flat line county

programs.

what's more...


"total spending for low-income programs outside health care — both mandatory and discretionary — is expected to fall below its prior 40-year average."

Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Wal mart associates: take action everywhere this holiday season

WalMart's
     jobikazzi moment 
  approaches
like a charging buffalo herd

a few locales need to be effectively shut down amidst huge coverage
during protracte sieges of these ground zero stores

the siege of the x y z walmarts

the protests by occupy the job site
at local NLRB Hq need to start now

Wal Mart's chinese box trick

"Roadlink Workforce Solutions--one of four subcontractors providing long-term "temporary" workers to Schneider Logistics, which operates the warehouse for Wal-Mart "

Wal-flowers march forth into the sun light





is this the  GM of the second great wagery rising ?

Walmart no longer content
                          playing  Sack mart Gag mart and Stall mart
has resorted to  the dual  tactics

  of  invisible ink cave ins and  concentrated private riot squad nite sticks

kampf baby  kampf  baby kampf baby

 http://shareforrespect.com/

Saturday, October 6, 2012

Wednesday, October 3, 2012

who pays the price when hegemons fall ?

well
 who else

the little people of  'umble old wage town and exploitation city

the dirty little graphic that tells the euro tale

:


superb paul gerbil post
on this btw

includes this on britain  down and deep down into its post great war golden  cups:

"Modern estimates (pdf) suggest
that Britain returned to the gold standard
 with a currency overvalued by around 20 percent;
 it also did so with a large debt from World War I.
 It proceeded to pursue a policy of harsh fiscal austerity
 — primary surpluses around 7 percent of GDP —
and internal devaluation through deflation.

... it not only suffered prolonged stagnation,
it failed even to make a dent in the debt overhang:"

 
couldn't have happened to better national choice
then the ailing senile dreadfully gay
                                                  global hegemon
 
 
 
i know
 
we're next
 
but i'll be long dead

debt shares: graph of the day


ABM

agent based models

agents have :

"autonomy

they are
heterogeneous

and they are
interactive


the correct  aggregation of souls  inside one agent
 is the key design task

its nearly impossible to support the state against a rebellion



Clio acts thru a succession of state systems

She obviously needs the means to creatively destroy the existing states to get on to the next set eh ?


but ......

the grave error is to forget in the glorious acts of destruction
a new state must rise out of the institutional  rubble of the last

there is no rebellion to end all states
no civil war to make society safe for stateless ness....not now not soon

Tuesday, October 2, 2012

6% unemployment is maximum employment

" In considering what maximum employment is, economists look at the unemployment rate. We tend to think of maximum employment as the level of unemployment that pushes inflation neither up nor down. This is the so-called natural rate of unemployment. It is a moving target that depends on how efficient the labor market is at matching workers with jobs. Although we can’t know exactly what the natural rate of unemployment is at any point in time, a reasonable estimate is that it is currently a little over 6% ...In other words, right now, an unemployment rate of about 6% would be consistent with the Fed’s goal of maximum employment. "


wonder-nomics

watch out owen she'll cut your nutz off someday

sledge head blue collar macho-nomics :

cut jobs or at least compensation
for  teachers and nurses

can it happen here and now ?

i'm working on an answer